11
Itszaboy
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 50
Beverley · End Of Season Handicap · 1m 100y
#10
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Beverley | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Redcar | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Ripon | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Beverley | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Redcar | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2025 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/10/2025 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/04/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 16/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |