4
Allkindsoftrouble
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 29
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 02/07/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 16/09/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 04/08/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |