5
American Blend
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 59
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength8%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 23/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |