3
Richochet Rick
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 63
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/10
Win Prob
64%
Place Prob
46%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-04-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-04-11 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -6.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 10/01/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 07/03/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 43% | -0.50 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |