6
Stormystormynight
8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 22
Fairmount Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2023-11-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2023 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |