2
Deal'em And Weep
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 78
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Canterbury Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Fair Grounds | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 03/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 04/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 20/02/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |