9

Heavenly Hash
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 58
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 04/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 21/09/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 25/08/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |