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Code Of Conduct

5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 76

Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

5/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength69%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Hawthorne 13/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 60 · 1m70y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/04/2025 · OR 60 par13/04C6OR 60C5 @ Hawthorne 08/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 72 · 1m70y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/05/2025 · OR 72 parC5 @ Hawthorne 01/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/06/2025 · OR 77 par1/06C5OR 77C6 @ Fairmount Park 05/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2025 · OR 77 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 05/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 71 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/08/2025 · OR 71 par5/08C6OR 71C6 @ Fairmount Park 07/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 78 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/10/2025 · OR 78 parC5 @ Hawthorne 10/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 75 · 1m70y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/05/2026 · OR 75 par10/05C5OR 75C8 @ Hawthorne 19/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 79 · 7f110y 123 · below its mark19/07/2026 · OR 79 par19/07C8OR 79projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Hawthorne?2nd2nd0
2026-05-10Hawthorne?3rd0th+3
2025-10-07Fairmount Park?3rd1st+2
2025-08-05Fairmount Park?2nd0th+2
2025-07-05Fairmount Park?6th4th+2
2025-06-01Hawthorne?7th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/045/0710/0519/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -8.6% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/04/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
08/05/20252nd6/168%80%+0.12
01/06/20257th20/10%33%+0.33
05/07/20256th14/126%0%-0.26
05/08/20252nd9/153%86%+0.33
07/10/20253rd9/488%67%-0.21
10/05/20263rd9/276%50%-0.26
19/07/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08