Fear The Queen
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 59
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-09-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-15 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 06/05/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 20/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 01/07/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 15/07/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 07/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 28/04/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 21/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |