Sweet Skylar

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 74

Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼2

Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +1.5

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-06-09	Fairmount Park	?	2nd	0th	+2	9.8
2026-05-16	Fairmount Park	?	2nd	0th	+2	9.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%

▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price

Trend▼

Strength49%

Delivery trend -29.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
16/05/2026	2nd	15/2	61%	80%	+0.19
09/06/2026	2nd	6/5	94%	83%	-0.10