3
Cantoo
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 74
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 08/09/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |