5
Cool Memory
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 80
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-06-01 | Lone Star | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 11% | -0.05 |
| 26/04/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 10/05/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 01/06/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |