2
Honor Point
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 88
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
89%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength84%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 05/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 57% | -0.37 |