Jack Sixpack
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 93
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2024-12-13 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2024-11-10 | Del Mar | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2024-09-29 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2024 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 05/07/2024 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 01/09/2024 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 29/09/2024 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 10/11/2024 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |
| 13/12/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |