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4

Dream Gold

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 70

Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 23/07/2024 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 4f110y Fas 12023/07C6C6 @ Fairmount Park 06/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 40 · 4f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark06/08/2024 · OR 40 parC6 @ Hawthorne 06/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 56 · 5f110y Fas 118 · beat its mark06/10/2024 · OR 56 par6/10C6OR 56BHA57 @ Fairmount Park 29/10/2024 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 57 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark29/10/2024 · OR 57 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 13/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 64 · 5f110y Gd 116 · beat its mark13/05/2025 · OR 64 par13/05C6OR 64C6 @ Fairmount Park 27/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 67 · 6f Fas 116 · below its mark27/05/2025 · OR 67 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 10/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 64 · 1m Fas 118 · below its mark10/06/2025 · OR 64 par10/06C6OR 64C6 @ Fairmount Park 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 61 · 6f 126 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 61 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 65 · 6f 126 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 65 par18/08C6OR 65projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Fairmount Park?1st1st0
2026-08-01Fairmount Park?2nd2nd0
2025-06-10Fairmount Park?5th5th0
2025-05-27Fairmount Park?7th7th0
2025-05-13Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2024-10-29Fairmount ParkBHA576th6th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0729/1010/0618/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength67%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20246th16/116%38%+0.22
06/08/20241st4/179%100%+0.21
06/10/20245th40/10%50%+0.50
29/10/20246th33/10%17%+0.17
13/05/20254th33/10%67%+0.67
27/05/20257th14/126%14%-0.12
10/06/20255th9/153%33%-0.19
01/08/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23
18/08/20261st11/486%100%+0.14