5
Even The Wind
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 88
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-07-13 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-16 | Fair Grounds | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 22/01/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 19/07/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |