3
After My Brother
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 66
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 14/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 28/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |