Awesome Drew
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 48
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-09-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-08-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 17% | -0.66 |
| 22/07/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 09/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 26/08/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |
| 09/09/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 30/09/2025 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 33% | -0.59 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 07/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |