Grace Met Cupid
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 84
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/5
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
96%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-11-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 01/09/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 12/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 14/11/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 11/8 | 93% | 14% | -0.78 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 86% | -0.09 |