1

Stunning Bruno

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 65

Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Keeneland 20/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 66 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark20/10/2024 · OR 66 par20/10C9OR 66C9 @ Churchill Downs 21/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 62 · 7f110y Fas 119 · beat its mark21/11/2024 · OR 62 parC9 @ Turfway Park 20/12/2024 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 64 · 1m Fas 119 · below its mark20/12/2024 · OR 64 par20/12C9OR 64C8 @ Will Rogers Downs 09/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 45 · 5f110y Fas 126 · beat its mark09/02/2026 · OR 45 parC8 @ Will Rogers Downs 23/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 54 · 6f 126 · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 54 par23/02C8OR 54C8 @ Will Rogers Downs 23/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 59 · 5f110y Fas 126 · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 59 parC8 @ Will Rogers Downs 06/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 61 · 6f 126 · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 61 par6/04C8OR 61C8 @ Fairmount Park 02/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 60 · 6f 124 · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 60 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 23/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 63 · 6f 124 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 63 par23/06C8OR 63projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-23Fairmount Park?7th7th0
2026-06-02Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2026-04-06Will Rogers Downs?5th5th0
2026-03-23Will Rogers Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-02-23Will Rogers Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-02-09Will Rogers Downs?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/109/026/0423/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/20245th9/153%43%-0.10
21/11/20243rd25/10%80%+0.80
20/12/202410th9/276%18%-0.58
09/02/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
23/02/20263rd20/10%75%+0.75
23/03/20263rd13/266%82%+0.16
06/04/20265th7/163%43%-0.20
02/06/20266th3/184%38%-0.47
23/06/20267th15/261%14%-0.46