8
Beyond Best
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 81
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-16 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-01-19 | Fair Grounds | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2025-11-16 | Churchill Downs | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 29/07/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 30/08/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 16/11/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 19/01/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 16/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |