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2

Camp Daddy

7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 91

Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Oaklawn Park 07/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 88 · 1m 118 · below its mark07/02/2026 · OR 88 par7/02C8OR 88C8 @ Oaklawn Park 28/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 84 · 1m 124 · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 15/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 88 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 88 par15/03C8OR 88C7 @ Oaklawn Park 27/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 93 · 1m110y 118 · below its mark27/03/2026 · OR 93 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 11/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 90 · 1m110y 121 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 90 par11/04C8OR 90C7 @ Oaklawn Park 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 87 · 1m110y 124 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 23/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 83 · 1m70y 126 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 83 par23/06C8OR 83C8 @ Fairmount Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 90 · 1m70y 126 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 90 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark08/09/2026 · OR 87 par8/09C6OR 87projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2026-07-18Fairmount Park?3rd5th−2
2026-06-23Fairmount Park?7th9th−2
2026-04-25Oaklawn Park?1st2nd−1
2026-04-11Oaklawn Park?1st3rd−2
2026-03-27Oaklawn Park?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0227/0323/068/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%

Delivery trend -7.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/02/20262nd9/153%91%+0.38
28/02/20262nd6/168%90%+0.22
15/03/20264th2/189%63%-0.27
27/03/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
11/04/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
25/04/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
23/06/20267th4/179%0%-0.79
18/07/20263rd10/382%67%-0.16
08/09/20264th13/266%57%-0.09