3
Jack Sprat
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 76
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2025-09-27 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 03/06/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 24/06/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 19/07/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 02/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 06/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/09/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |