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Personal Jet

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 81

Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Oaklawn Park 08/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 77 · 6f 119 · beat its mark08/02/2026 · OR 77 par8/02C9OR 77C8 @ Oaklawn Park 27/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 125 · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 73 parC6 @ Oaklawn Park 21/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 74 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 74 par21/03C6OR 74C8 @ Oaklawn Park 02/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 78 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark02/04/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 30/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 85 · 6f 120 · below its mark30/04/2026 · OR 85 par30/04C8OR 85C6 @ Fairmount Park 30/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 81 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 80 par20/06C6OR 80C5 @ Hawthorne 13/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 80 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 80 · 6f Gd 124 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 80 par25/07C8OR 80projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Fairmount Park?5th7th−2
2026-07-13Hawthorne?5th4th+1
2026-06-20Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2026-05-30Fairmount Park?3rd3rd0
2026-04-30Oaklawn Park?5th7th−2
2026-04-02Oaklawn Park?3rd5th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/022/0420/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
27/02/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
21/03/20266th6/168%44%-0.24
02/04/20263rd9/276%71%-0.05
30/04/20265th11/486%60%-0.26
30/05/20263rd5/493%60%-0.33
20/06/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
13/07/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
25/07/20265th4/179%33%-0.46