1
Sound Of Victory
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-03-05 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-02-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |
| 05/02/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 19/02/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/03/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |