7
Wicked Gus
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 78
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +5.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 06/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 25/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |