IvyArcIvyArc
2

Busy Busy Busy

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 59

Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

42%

Place Prob

42%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼3
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Philadelphia Park 02/08/2016 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 0m7f0y 120 · HIGHER CLASS2/08C5C6 @ Finger Lakes 06/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Finger Lakes 20/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 55 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 55 par20/10C6OR 55C6 @ Finger Lakes 12/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 52 · 1m Slo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 52 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 08/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 54 · 1m 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 54 par8/06C6OR 54C6 @ Finger Lakes 30/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 57 · 1m 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 57 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 57 · 1m70y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 57 par13/07C6OR 57C6 @ Finger Lakes 27/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 60 · 1m110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 60 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 10/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 60 · 1m70y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 60 par10/08C6OR 60projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Finger Lakes?5th2nd+3
2026-07-27Finger Lakes?3rd0th+3
2026-07-13Finger Lakes?4th1st+3
2026-06-30Finger Lakes?3rd0th+3
2026-06-08Finger Lakes?4th1st+3
2025-11-12Finger Lakes?2nd-1th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0812/1113/0710/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/08/20167th3/184%0%-0.84
06/10/20255th5/174%43%-0.31
20/10/20254th5/174%63%-0.11
12/11/20252nd25/10%83%+0.83
08/06/20264th20/10%25%+0.25
30/06/20263rd16/116%60%+0.44
13/07/20264th33/10%57%+0.57
27/07/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01
10/08/20265th12/137%33%-0.04