Followill
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 64
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 8.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2025-08-22 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 05/08/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/09/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |