
Wisecracker
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 51
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 19/11/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 13/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |