6

Wisecracker

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 51

Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

57%

Place Prob

49%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength98%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Finger Lakes 03/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 53 · 1m70y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 53 par3/11C6OR 53C6 @ Finger Lakes 19/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 57 · 1m110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/11/2025 · OR 57 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 27/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 57 · 4f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 57 par27/04C6OR 57C6 @ Finger Lakes 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 57 · 5f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 57 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 27/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 56 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 56 par27/05C6OR 56C6 @ Finger Lakes 22/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 55 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 55 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 13/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 56 · 1m70y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 56 par13/07C6OR 56C6 @ Finger Lakes 10/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 50 · 1m70y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 50 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 25/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 52 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 52 par25/08C6OR 52projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Finger Lakes?5th2nd+3
2026-08-10Finger Lakes?4th1st+3
2026-07-13Finger Lakes?7th4th+3
2026-06-22Finger Lakes?3rd0th+3
2026-05-27Finger Lakes?5th2nd+3
2026-05-11Finger Lakes?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1111/0513/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/11/20252nd16/116%86%+0.70
19/11/20256th10/147%17%-0.31
27/04/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
11/05/20264th11/271%25%-0.46
27/05/20265th6/168%20%-0.48
22/06/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13
13/07/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
10/08/20264th25/10%50%+0.50
25/08/20265th12/137%43%+0.06