4
Iron Man Ira
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 44
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength7%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 22/09/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 07/10/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 20/10/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 05/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |