1
Milagroso
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 66
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2023-11-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2023-11-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2023 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 18/10/2023 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 01/11/2023 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 13/11/2023 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 22/11/2023 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 28/04/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |