3
Renew The Blue
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 63
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 27/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 17/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 02/09/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |