6
Thirty Oysters
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 67
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 12/11/2025 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 11% | -0.52 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 12/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |