8
Maizey Blue
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 52
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +9.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 29/03/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |