7
No Factor
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 53
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +6.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 08/03/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 15/05/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 28/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |