1

Outta The Cloud

6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 53

Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Finger Lakes 05/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 45 · 4f110y 124 · below its mark05/05/2026 · OR 45 par5/05C8OR 45C8 @ Finger Lakes 18/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 48 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 48 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 02/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 46 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 46 par2/06C8OR 46C8 @ Finger Lakes 24/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 46 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 46 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 07/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 47 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 47 par7/07C8OR 47C8 @ Finger Lakes 20/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 45 · 6f 124 · below its mark20/07/2026 · OR 45 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 12/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 44 · 6f 124 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 44 par12/08C8OR 44C8 @ Finger Lakes 26/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 44 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 44 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 09/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 44 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 44 par9/09C8OR 44projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Finger Lakes?7th7th0
2026-08-26Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2026-08-12Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-07-20Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2026-07-07Finger Lakes?6th6th0
2026-06-24Finger Lakes?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0524/0612/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/20265th25/10%33%+0.33
18/05/20265th16/116%20%+0.04
02/06/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
24/06/20264th33/10%50%+0.50
07/07/20266th25/10%29%+0.29
20/07/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
12/08/20264th40/10%57%+0.57
26/08/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
09/09/20267th33/10%25%+0.25