4
Ring Of The Rise
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 55
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 13/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 03/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 43% | -0.45 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |