7
Charlie My Boy
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 68
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
62%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-07-12 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +32.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 06/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |