4
Gitole
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 58
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |