7
Coach Bahe
9yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 75
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 03/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 20/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 18/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |