6

Deputy Tramon
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 68
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 22/10/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 17/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 40% | -0.52 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |