1
G Munning
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 71
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 14% | -0.73 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |