8
Swift Bank
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 60
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 24/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.34 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |