3
Only La Duss
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 40
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 12/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |