IvyArcIvyArc
5

Secord

5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 27

Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Finger Lakes 18/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 44 · 1m70y 124 · beat its mark18/08/2025 · OR 44 par18/08C9OR 44C9 @ Finger Lakes 17/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 52 · 1m70y Fas 124 · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 52 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 22/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 53 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 53 par22/10C9OR 53C9 @ Finger Lakes 17/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 44 · 6f Slo 124 · below its mark17/11/2025 · OR 44 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 02/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 39 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark02/06/2026 · OR 39 par2/06C9OR 39C9 @ Finger Lakes 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 30 · 1m 124 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 30 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 26 · 1m70y Gd 124 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 26 par3/08C9OR 26C6 @ Finger Lakes 12/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 25 · 1m70y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 25 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 08/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 34 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 34 par8/09C9OR 34projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Finger Lakes?6th6th0
2026-08-12Finger Lakes?6th3rd+3
2026-08-03Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-07-07Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-06-02Finger Lakes?5th5th0
2025-11-17Finger Lakes?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0817/113/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength37%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/20253rd10/147%60%+0.13
17/09/20256th16/116%0%-0.16
22/10/20255th20/10%33%+0.33
17/11/202510th40/10%18%+0.18
02/06/20265th25/10%20%+0.20
07/07/20263rd12/137%50%+0.13
03/08/20264th40/10%63%+0.63
12/08/20266th40/10%0%0.00
08/09/20266th50/10%38%+0.38