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7

Spicey Ticey

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 44

Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

93%

Place Prob

66%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Aqueduct 18/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 38 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark18/01/2026 · OR 38 par18/01C9OR 38C9 @ Charles Town 11/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 22 · 4f110y 122 · beat its mark11/03/2026 · OR 22 parC9 @ Charles Town 02/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 27 · 7f Gd 122 · beat its mark02/04/2026 · OR 27 par2/04C9OR 27C9 @ Charles Town 25/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 40 · 6f110y Fas 118 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 40 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 12/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 46 · 5f Fas 119 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 46 par12/05C9OR 46C9 @ Finger Lakes 02/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 43 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 43 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 43 · 6f 120 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 43 par20/07C9OR 43C9 @ Finger Lakes 03/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 46 · 1m70y Gd 120 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 46 parC9 @ Finger Lakes 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 45 · 1m Gd 120 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 45 par31/08C9OR 45projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-08-03Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-07-20Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-06-02Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-05-12Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-04-25Charles Town?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0125/0420/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength55%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/01/202611th10/147%0%-0.47
11/03/20267th5/174%0%-0.74
02/04/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
25/04/20268th10/147%22%-0.25
12/05/20263rd11/486%60%-0.26
02/06/20262nd15/890%80%-0.10
20/07/20263rd11/486%71%-0.14
03/08/20263rd9/276%75%-0.01
31/08/20262nd15/890%80%-0.10