
Wayward Queen
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 58
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
2/7
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-08-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-06 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 63% | -0.20 |