4
Sun Joy
7yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 105
Fontwell · betting.bet Free Racing Tips Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 162y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Fontwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Fontwell | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Ludlow | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Fontwell | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Fontwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2024 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 05/11/2024 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 07/02/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 07/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 22/09/2025 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 23/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 10/11/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 14/05/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |