Virtual Rock
7yo Gelding · 11-13 · OR 107
Fontwell · betting.bet Free Racing Tips Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 162y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
44%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Cartmel | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | 2 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2024-07-26 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-07-09 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2023-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | -3th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2022 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |
| 01/09/2022 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 18/03/2023 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/04/2023 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 09/07/2024 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 26/07/2024 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 06/08/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 30% | -0.44 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |