6
Rum Diamond
3yo Gelding · 11-2
Fontwell · betting.bet New Betting Sites Juvenile Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 1f 162y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
78%
Place Prob
51%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fontwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Kempton | 6 | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2025-12-02 | Lingfield | 5 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-11-19 | Kempton | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-10-24 | Southwell | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength77%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 19/11/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 42% | -0.11 |
| 02/12/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 30/03/2026 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |